Matt Dawson column: England join All Blacks and South Africa in Rugby World Cup top tier
|2019 Rugby World Cup|
|Hosts:JapanDates:20 September – 2 November|
|Protection:Rotund commentary on every sport at some level of BBC Radio 5 Dwell and Radio 5 Dwell Sports Extra, plus text updates on the BBC Sport web put and app.|
Rapidly forward of 11:00 BST on Saturday, 2 November, we can grasp the solutions.
The identity of the skipper beneath the William Webb Ellis trophy and cloud of tickertape in Yokohama.
The destinations of the flights that grasp headed home from Japan with crude haste.
The boys who can grasp transform the game’s recent faces for the sporting mainstream.
But, for now, with not as a lot as forty eight hours forward of Japan and Russia meet within the match’s first sport, the Rugby World Cup is handiest posing questions.
Extinct England scrum-half of Matt Dawson, Rugby World Cup winner in 2003, is answering them within the principle of his BBC Sport columns through the match.
Which of the home worldwide locations will fare finest?
The closer we discover to the match, the more I fancyEngland. They are in a trio of high-tier contenders with Fresh Zealand and South Africa.
They grasp an amazing squad with terrific strength huge at some level of every recount. What is awfully placing is their raft of heavy-responsibility ball-carriers that can discover them at some level of the gainline and provides them a foothold in any sport.
Kyle Sinckler, Maro Itoje, George Kruis, Billy Vunipola, Manu Tuilagi and Joe Cokanasiga’s energy can recount up wave after wave of attack.
The serious ask will attain when they attain up in opposition to a bunch that can physically match them or power them to switch approach on the hoof.
Are their key leaders – the number eight and half of-backs – in a position to huddle together and solely replace direction tactically?
Too over and over we grasp viewed this England aspect fight to position the opposition away or shut out the game.
They’ll must always be clinical in mammoth games if they’re to slide the full manner.
Irelandattain into the match because the finest group within the enviornment within the rankings, nonetheless with the possibility of both Fresh Zealand or South Africa within the final eight, I make not mumble they’re going to produce the semi-finals.
They were taking half in scintillating rugby between a Three hundred and sixty five days and 18 months within the past, pushed in a immense share by hooker Rory Finest, scrum-half of Conor Murray and soar-half of Jonny Sexton.
For whatever reason, those three are not now firing on all cylinders and their recount-fragment is wobbling too. Procure ball from line-out or scrum is fundamental for atmosphere the foundation of the vogue you would possibly want to play.
They’ll discover out of their neighborhood and likely the knock-out stage mammoth-sport pedigree that the Irish provinces grasp proven in European opponents will plot shut them, nonetheless they’re not in my high three or four sides to take the match.
Scotland, who share their neighborhood with Ireland, Japan, Samoa, Russia, will fancy their possibilities of beating Ireland on the opening weekend and topping Pool A.
They’ll feel they grasp got an creative, bold half of-relief pairing, a cell pack and hundreds ride upsetting the percentages.
Whether or not that is sufficient to discover them any extra than the final eight even though…
Their predominant remark will be around their strength huge.
For one-off games, the put all americans is fit, they’re going to remark anybody.
They grasp a take grasp of of world-class avid gamers – Alun Wyn Jones, Jonathan Davies, Liam Williams – who’re sensational and a relief row that, on their day, will be as physical as anybody within the enviornment.
On the touchlines they grasp got one amongst the shrewdest coaching recount-united states of americaaround with Warren Gatland and Shaun Edwards.
I labored with them during my time with Wasps and there are none better at tailoring a particular gameplan to beat a particular opposition. They are adept at doing so very fleet as well, which is purposeful in match rugby.
- Gatland skittish by Howley investigation
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Undoubtedly one of their challenges will be conserving their first-need beginning line-up by a pool marketing campaign. They grasp paunchy-bore Assessments in opposition to Fiji and Australia, which they’re going to be alive to to take for an even bigger quarter-closing plot.
Are the All Blacks wobbling on their throne?
They completely make not grasp a Dan Carter and Richie McCaw nonetheless they grasp got ride of winning this match, a vogue of taking half in and a convention that is some of the finest within the enviornment.
They grasp lost about a suits recently, nonetheless their response in opposition to Australia and Tonga of their final couple of suits immediate they’re locked into World Cup mode.
If I needed to pick one group to take it, they’d calm be my option. They grasp a mixture of firepower, strength huge and ride that is a genuinely potent mix.
What is within the relief of the Springboks’ resurgence?
When Allister Coetzeeleft his post as South Africa coach in February 2018,they’d won handiest 11 of their old 25 Assessments and slipped to sixth within the enviornment rankings.
But Rassie Erasmus has attain in and shaken up the politics at some level of the group, refocusing on winning andremoving the ban of abroad-essentially essentially based completely avid gamers.
He retired as a player in 2003 and has coached ever since, and I believe he retains that empathy with the dressing room.
The form of sport that Erasmus instilled during his Three hundred and sixty five days at Munster fits well with the South African psyche – tall when it needs to be nonetheless with an attritional edge.
Faf de Klerk is a wonderfully busy, incisive scrum-half of, nonetheless his distinctive form of play will lead to diversified teams concentrated on him during this match. He has obvious inclinations that he repeats.
Their novelty has been share of what has made him effective so far, nonetheless there’ll be relief rows discovering out the video tapes and laying some traps for him. It is in general a tough match for him.
If Erasmus can relief him by, preserve a lid on the Springboks self-discipline and create momentum by the selling campaign, they’re going to take some stopping.
Who are the next generation of superstars who will emerge from the match?
After England’s disappointing marketing campaign in 2015, this might per chance occasionally be the World Cup the put soar-half ofOwen Farrellgrabs his likelihood to existing himself as a global celebrity.
Cokanasigais in general a complete celebrity for England if he will get a possibility to screen what he can attain on the fly.
Richie Mo’ungahas handiest made five starts for the All Blacks, nonetheless appears recount to start at soar-half of for the defending champions. My former half of-relief accomplice and fellow 5 Dwell analyst Paul Grayson rates him genuinely extremely. He has ultimate particular particular person abilities, immense imaginative and prescient, better kicking stats than group-mate Beauden Barrett and he’s an unselfish group player as well.
Fresh Zealand grasp a jubilant habit of uncovering a fly correct forward of a serious match or series.
Nehe Milner-Skudder lit up the 2015 World Cup, Sitiveni Sivivatu became once ultimate within the series take over the Lions in 2005, Joe Rokocoko made his debut correct four months forward of the 2003 World Cup.
Sevu ReeceandGeorge Bridgeare both inexperienced wings who will be primed to attain one thing the same.
Is web hosting the match in Japan of project for World Rugby?
To be moral, I make not behold a downside. I believe it is far a immense resolution.
The suits are not in prime kick-off times for about a of the mammoth television markets, nonetheless they’re breakfast and brunch time right here in Europe and of us’s schedules will fit around it sexy.
It’s most likely you’ll per chance well behold the enthusiasm on the ground.Fifteen thousand of usturned out to behold Wales educate and a high proportion of the tickets grasp been equipped. It has been embraced by the host nation and the likelihood of going someplace recent fancy that excites fans from abroad.
If the leisure I believe that the coverage of taking the match to recent territory to take a peek at and destroy recent ground for the game will be repeated.
The United States must be on World Rugby’s hit checklist. Most definitely a South American-essentially essentially based completely match will be after that.
Matt Dawson became once speaking to BBC Sport’s Mike Henson.